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Sunday, January 25, 2026

Nifty 50 Pulse: Opening Bell Recurring Bull and Bear Patterns

 The Nifty 50 Index is India’s benchmark equity index, representing the weighted average of 50 of the largest and most liquid companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It is widely tracked by institutional and retail investors, and serves as the underlying for futures and options contracts.

For intraday traders in derivatives, analyzing Opening bell trends (09:15 vs. previous day’s close) is crucial because:

A) Monthly Sentiment Analysis (2025)

The following table breaks down the percentage of Bullish, Bearish, and Flat days for each month.

Note: "Flat" is defined as any movement between 1 and 25 points (Up or Down).

MonthTrading DaysBullish (%)Bearish (%)Flat (%)
January2360.9%21.7%17.4%
February2030.0%40.0%30.0%
March1952.6%36.8%10.6%
April1957.9%31.6%10.5%
May2147.6%23.8%28.6%
June2152.4%19.0%28.6%
July2339.1%21.8%39.1%
August2025.0%25.0%50.0%
September2254.5%18.2%27.3%
October2142.9%23.8%33.3%
November2050.0%20.0%30.0%
December2334.8%39.1%26.1%

Friday, January 23, 2026

Koundinya Volatile (K-Vol) Options Shield: A Directional Hedge Strategy for Nifty50 Weekly Options Trading

 After years of navigating the turbulence of the Indian markets—from the 2020 crash to the present  high-frequency era —many traders find themselves overwhelmed by data.

Traders (including myself) have studied candlestick patterns, Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega), Open Interest (OI), straddle/strangle setups, and even stock market astrology. Yet consistent losses are common due to time decay (theta), volatility crush, and unpredictable market moves.


To address this, I designed the Koundinya Volatile (K-Vol) Options Shield — a strategy that combines directional bias with volatility protection. It uses a mix of ATM (At-the-Money) and OTM (Out-of-the-Money) options to capture moves while limiting risk. This moves away from "guessing" the market and instead focuses on Asymmetric Protection.

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Mastering Nifty 50 Options Strategies: Straddle, Strangle, Bull & Bear Spreads Explained

 Options trading in Nifty 50 allows traders to profit from volatility, directional moves, or range-bound markets. Strategies like Straddle, Strangle, Bull Spread, and Bear Spread are widely used. By combining these with candlestick patterns, traders can refine entries and exits.

Assumption:

  • Current Nifty 50 = 25400 (ATM)

  • Expiry = 27 Jan 2026

  • CE Premium = ₹150

  • PE Premium = ₹120

  • Lot size = 65 contracts/ Qty.